Apr 35 minVPAM Monthly Macro Outlook Feb 2024Chart of the month – Nvidia’s Euphoric Rise vs China’s Brutal Selloff Nvidia (LHS) 1st Jan 2023 to Present CSI 1000 (RHS) 1st Jan 2023 to...
Apr 32 minThe Ideas of MarchThere has been a growing perception that equities are now in a “melt up” or “crash up” phase. However, the big picture problem for...
Apr 33 minDance Near the ExitWe are back in Singapore after three weeks on the road meeting clients. As we noted last week, there had been a growing perception or...
Apr 32 minGoldeneyeBasic rule: always call their bluff - James Bond. Over the past five years pet rock (spot gold) has traded with a resistance level just abov
Feb 74 minEnter the Dragon & the Third ElementEnter the Dragon & the Third Element This year we enter the Zodiac year of the Dragon. Let’s hope it is a lot more auspicious than the...
Dec 6, 20233 minEquities Say Yes, Bonds are Screaming No!The decline in Treasury yields (rise in bond prices) since late October has been impulsive, rapid, and emotional. Suddenly all the slack...
Dec 4, 20233 minPet Rock & the All-Time-HighThe barbarous relic (gold) made a new all time high this morning in Asian trade on Monday. From our perch, the shift in consensus beliefs...
Nov 29, 20233 minThree Things Ruin People....“Three things ruin people: drugs, liquor and leverage”. Charlie Munger R.I.P There are so many excellent quotes and so much wisdom from...
Nov 27, 20235 minThe Non-Predictions for 2024The non-predictions for 2024. The US equity risk premium will not end 2024 narrower compared to end 2023. The US high yield bond index...
Nov 23, 20233 minThat's not a KnifeThe price action over the past two weeks while we have been out meeting investors has been fascinating. We are not surprised that there...