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Focus on a Single Story
24 April 2025 From a behavioural perspective, a key feature of major market episodes is that investors tend to focus on a single story....
2 days ago3 min read


The Ultimate Game of Chicken
14 April 2025 We are in the ultimate game of chicken. The big picture question is who blinks first? Either something breaks and we plunge...
Apr 143 min read


Follow the leverage
11 April 2025 As we indicated earlier this week, our sense is that the stress in bond and funding market liquidity probably motivated the...
Apr 113 min read


What do you know that the market doesn't already know?
09 April 2025 A mentor of mine used to say in these moments, “what do you think you know that the market doesn’t already know?” We know...
Apr 93 min read


From a Position of Deep Discomfort
07 April 2025 A key element of our process is to capitalise on situations where market pricing has de-coupled from fundamentals or the...
Apr 74 min read


Liquidation Day
04 April 2025 At the start of 2025 we suggested that the market unfriendly elements of the Trump Agenda – tariffs, destabilising...
Apr 43 min read


Apr 20 min read


Mar 180 min read


Make Dispersion & Value Great Again
17 March 2025 Since World War II there have been 48 corrections of -10% on the S&P500 (the global risk proxy), 12/48 (25%) have turned...
Mar 173 min read
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